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AGRICULTURAL LAND-USE SYSTEMS AND CLIMATE CHANGE AMONG SMALL FARMERS IN NIGERIA

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Proceedings of the Satellite conference of the International Association for Statistical Education (IASE), August 2019, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia.

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In sub-Saharan-Africa (SSA), agriculture land-use supports the livelihoods of the majority of people. Landuse for agricultural-activity is an economic-activity that is highly dependent upon weather and climate that produce food and fibre necessary to sustain human life. Hence, land-use for agriculture is expected to be vulnerable to climate variability. This paper examines this relationship. The paper presents data and generated evidence-based decision making under risk and uncertainty as influenced by climate change and its effects on agricultural land-use/outputs. Farm-level cost-route survey of cross-sectional national-data of 800 respondents was used for analysis. Data were analyzed and presented using the tools of descriptive statistics, trans-logarithms model and multivariate probit model (MVP). The study indicated a strong relationship between efficient use of agricultural-land and adaptive-processes to climate-change. Thus, providing data and analysis that strengthen policy decisions on land-use and climate change. Hence, policies of promoting and motivating sustainable land-use management need to be entrenched.

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